Consumer, GDP Data Dampen Stocks
Stocks retreated from 13-month highs after a lackluster reading on consumer confidence and a report showing slower economic growth sapped the market’s optimism.
Major indexes were slightly lower Tuesday after the Conference Board said its Consumer Confidence Index increased to 49.5 in November from a revised reading of 48.7 in October. While better than expected, the report shows that consumers remain gloomy heading into the holiday season. A reading above 50 means the economy is on solid footing.
Stocks had already been falling in morning trading after the government revised its calculation of third-quarter economic growth down to 2.8 percent from its original estimate of 3.5 percent, the latest sign that the recovery is likely to be slow and bumpy.
The decline in stocks came after a big rally on Monday carried the Dow Jones industrials up 133 points to their highest level in just over a year. A weakening dollar and an upbeat report on housing lured investors back into stocks after a three-day losing streak. The dollar bounced back on Tuesday, hurting stock market sentiment.
The dollar’s weakness has been a big driver behind higher stock prices this year. Investors have been taking advantage of record-low interest rates to invest in assets other than cash that can earn them better returns.
As the end of the year approaches, however, investors have become hesitant to take on more risk and potentially upset the big gains they’ve amassed since stocks began rallying in March. That desire for safety helps push up the dollar and other safe-harbor investments like Treasurys at the expense of the stock market.
The Dow fell 22.68, or 0.2 percent, to 10,428.27. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index lost 1.03, or 0.1 percent, to 1,105.21, while the Nasdaq composite index fell 8.63, or 0.4 percent, to 2,167.38.
About two stocks fell for every one that rose on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to a relatively low 240.8 million shares, compared with 284.4 million at the same time on Monday.
Analysts expect trading to be choppy this week amid light trading volume heading into the Thanksgiving holiday.
A report earlier Tuesday showing the fourth straight month of improving house prices in September did little to shore up investor confidence. The Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index rose 0.3 percent in September from the previous month.
Investors have been battling mixed signals on the economy in recent months. Areas like housing have shown modest improvements, but others like consumer confidence and employment are lagging. That has investors worried that their bets on an economic recovery over the past eight months may have been overdone. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up 63.5 percent since early March.
A stronger dollar put pressure on the shares of commodities and materials producing companies. When the dollar rises, it makes commodities and commodities-related products more expensive for buyers overseas.
The ICE Futures US dollar index, a widely used measure of the dollar against other currencies, rose x percent in morning trading. Oil prices fell $1.24 to $76.32 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold prices rose slightly.
Bond prices were mixed. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.35 percent from 3.36 percent late Monday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, rose to 0.05 percent from 0.03 percent.
In other trading, the Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 5.41, or 0.9 percent, to 589.40.
Overseas, China’s Shanghai index fell 3.5 percent, its biggest decline in three months, while Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 1 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain’s FTSE 100 rose 0.3 percent, Germany’s DAX index gained 0.1 percent, and France’s CAC-40 slipped 0.1 percent.
11/24/2009 10:59 AM SARA LEPRO, STEPHEN BERNARD, AP Business Writers NEW YORK